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| Artificial Intelligence
 A Guide to Intelligent Systems
 Second Edition
 Michael Negnevitsky
 
 
 Contents
 Preface xi
 Preface to the second edition xv
 Acknowledgements xvii
 1 Introduction to knowledge-based intelligent systems 1
 1.1 Intelligent machines, or what machines can do 1
 1.2 The history of artificial intelligence, or from the ‘Dark Ages’
 to knowledge-based systems 4
 1.3 Summary 17
 Questions for review 21
 References 22
 2 Rule-based expert systems 25
 2.1 Introduction, or what is knowledge? 25
 2.2 Rules as a knowledge representation technique 26
 2.3 The main players in the expert system development team 28
 2.4 Structure of a rule-based expert system 30
 2.5 Fundamental characteristics of an expert system 33
 2.6 Forward chaining and backward chaining inference
 techniques 35
 2.7 MEDIA ADVISOR: a demonstration rule-based expert system 41
 2.8 Conflict resolution 47
 2.9 Advantages and disadvantages of rule-based expert systems 50
 2.10 Summary 51
 Questions for review 53
 References 54
 3 Uncertainty management in rule-based expert systems 55
 3.1 Introduction, or what is uncertainty? 55
 3.2 Basic probability theory 57
 3.3 Bayesian reasoning 61
 3.4 FORECAST: Bayesian accumulation of evidence 65
 3.5 Bias of the Bayesian method 72
 3.6 Certainty factors theory and evidential reasoning 74
 3.7 FORECAST: an application of certainty factors 80
 3.8 Comparison of Bayesian reasoning and certainty factors 82
 3.9 Summary 83
 Questions for review 85
 References 85
 4 Fuzzy expert systems 87
 4.1 Introduction, or what is fuzzy thinking? 87
 4.2 Fuzzy sets 89
 4.3 Linguistic variables and hedges 94
 4.4 Operations of fuzzy sets 97
 4.5 Fuzzy rules 103
 4.6 Fuzzy inference 106
 4.7 Building a fuzzy expert system 114
 4.8 Summary 125
 Questions for review 126
 References 127
 Bibliography 127
 5 Frame-based expert systems 131
 5.1 Introduction, or what is a frame? 131
 5.2 Frames as a knowledge representation technique 133
 5.3 Inheritance in frame-based systems 138
 5.4 Methods and demons 142
 5.5 Interaction of frames and rules 146
 5.6 Buy Smart: a frame-based expert system 149
 5.7 Summary 161
 Questions for review 163
 References 163
 Bibliography 164
 6 Artificial neural networks 165
 6.1 Introduction, or how the brain works 165
 6.2 The neuron as a simple computing element 168
 6.3 The perceptron 170
 6.4 Multilayer neural networks 175
 6.5 Accelerated learning in multilayer neural networks 185
 6.6 The Hopfield network 188
 6.7 Bidirectional associative memory 196
 6.8 Self-organising neural networks 200
 6.9 Summary 212
 Questions for review 215
 References 216
 viii CONTENTS
 7 Evolutionary computation 219
 7.1 Introduction, or can evolution be intelligent? 219
 7.2 Simulation of natural evolution 219
 7.3 Genetic algorithms 222
 7.4 Why genetic algorithms work 232
 7.5 Case study: maintenance scheduling with genetic
 algorithms 235
 7.6 Evolution strategies 242
 7.7 Genetic programming 245
 7.8 Summary 254
 Questions for review 255
 References 256
 Bibliography 257
 8 Hybrid intelligent systems 259
 8.1 Introduction, or how to combine German mechanics with
 Italian love 259
 8.2 Neural expert systems 261
 8.3 Neuro-fuzzy systems 268
 8.4 ANFIS: Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System 277
 8.5 Evolutionary neural networks 285
 8.6 Fuzzy evolutionary systems 290
 8.7 Summary 296
 Questions for review 297
 References 298
 9 Knowledge engineering and data mining 301
 9.1 Introduction, or what is knowledge engineering? 301
 9.2 Will an expert system work for my problem? 308
 9.3 Will a fuzzy expert system work for my problem? 317
 9.4 Will a neural network work for my problem? 323
 9.5 Will genetic algorithms work for my problem? 336
 9.6 Will a hybrid intelligent system work for my problem? 339
 9.7 Data mining and knowledge discovery 349
 9.8 Summary 361
 Questions for review 362
 References 363
 Glossary 365
 Appendix 391
 Index 407
 
 
 
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